Is any wonder that we are in such a financial pickle.
Relative
to 1960s, domestic debt in 1970s rose by 238%. In the 1980s relevant to
the 1970s debt rose 318%. In the 1990s 180% and in the eight years up
to the global crash in 2008 163%. That's 'household debt' in a period
when household earnings had plateaued and begun to decline. The offer of
"debt inducement" was predicated on the need to feed the consumerism
which was the linch pin to so called economic growth.
The
rise of Walmart, a model whereby the goods were discounted in
accordance with the reduced circumstances of whole neighbourhoods was in
part dependent on low wages and long hours which further drove down the
earnings in the neighbourhood since Walmart had became the major
employer within the neighbourhood.
The
package of low priced goods, falling wages and ever attractive debt
offers are the Capitalistic landscape we have become used to. There is
no resilience in this economic scenario and in my opinion we are headed
for another crash which this time will be much more difficult to
counteract because of the negligible interest rates (a major tool used
to stimulate an economy) we have had for a decade.
This
didn't come by accident but like the Generals in the two World Wars,
there is a disconnect between the leadership and the ordinary human
being.
Money
is the great differentiation. But even money is suspect. They have
devaluated all the major currencies with unimaginable amounts of
'Quantitative Easing' (printing money in the old language) and we are
awash with uncertainty.
The
glitter of short term returns has meant the banks never really ceased
their sometimes near criminal manipulation of money and given the
wholesale largesse from the taxpayer to rebalance their balance sheets,
(not in the form of a loan but as a gift from us), they continue to
weave a sense of false security. Like the child with its hand in the
cookie jar they are are unable to go back to the basics of proper
banking.
Barclays,
after the debacle of Bob Diamond and his laissez-faire minimal
regulation approach they brought in Anthony Jenkins a local man who's
first task was to free the bank from its reliance on the casino of arm
of the bank, 'investment banking' and re-establish the wholesale bank
with its priority on lending. Jenkins was the good guy, home grown he
promised to rebalance the balance sheet and rid the bank of bad practice
which was exemplified by the complicit nature of Diamond, an American
banker, with the Libor scandal on his watch.
After only 2 years, Jenkins has been sacked. The pressure for the good old days
of rapid unsubstantiated growth from the banks 'Hedge Fund'
shareholders was too great and another American, Jes Staley from
JPMorgan, one of the banks involved in the crash of 2008 were he was,
you've guessed it their Investment Bank boss, has been brought in with
the blessing of the Banks Chairman John McFarlane who has promised to
take a back seat and give full reign to the incoming guy. One wonders,
was he doing that when Diamond was in charge ?
And so the wheel turns full circle and Keynes must be turning in his grave !!
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