Tuesday, 8 October 2019

31st of October


Subject: 31st of October.

As we approach the 31st of October, the day we leave the EU and strike out on our own,
with the impending doom of a hard Brexit and the abrupt severing of ties with all the implications  of an abrupt rupture of so many of the connection which make the country work smoothly. From the financial implication that will come into place, the legal restraints in the money market and the security of interbank lending, to the break in the supply chain of so many industrial components, to the disconnect in the pharmaceutical drugs business and the severance of collaborative research and development in the EU with a plethora of European universities. Finally the tariff barriers which might in the case of agricultural products place our farmers in the bankruptcy court and certainly, with a collapsing pound may also drag the nation into the insolvency court as well. 
We will of course have our 'sovereignty' and our 'courts' which will resume their place as the place of last resort in terms of seeking justice. We will regain control over our boarders, in theory at least and can monitor who comes in and who goes out. We won't be required to pay considerable sums of money each year into a questionable and  opaque financial black hole which has failed to publish satisfactory accounts for years. We won't be constrained in our purchase of chlorinated chicken or genetically modified wheat and most likely be required by the Americans to consume as much as we can in part to garner some sort of agreement to trade other products into the USA.
It's all pretty murky this new world we chose three years ago in a referendum which simply asked, 'In or Out', without sufficient explanation as to the consequences. The Government through the Treasury and the Chancellor offered doom and gloom without any detail thinking a macro picture would be sufficient to frighten people into voting to stay. What they hadn't taken into consideration was the distrust many of the voters had for the Establishment and parliament in general. The vote for many people was a chance to kick back, vote a rebellious two fingers to anyone in authority. If the details had been paraded and explained in detail with the consequences laid bare, if a true account of our lack of economic strength or the ability to function on our own had been explained, if it had been explained the EUs reluctance to give away too much, preserving as it must its rules of association.  If. If. If. 


If we hadn't discounted the threat of Boris Johnson, Dominic Cummings, and Jacob Rees-Mogg to use every political trick in the book to forestall parliament at every turn.
If we hadn't assumed that common sense would prevail in the end and that the grandiose egos which were at work to secure power couldn't in the end be controlled. And finally the perverse closing of ranks within the Tory Party, politicians reversing their opinions to fit the new paradigm of a Boris led government.

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