The Syrian
crisis has legs of its own. For all the reasoned argument and debate
about the consequences of an attack on Syria. The questioning of who
authorised the chemical attacks, The spectre of Iraq and Afghanistan,
the claim that in similar instances chemicals have been used and the
West turned a blind eye, notably Iraq against the Kurds. Its hard not to
have to acknowledge that, as in personal violence, its the case, at the
end of the day, do you have the stomach for it.
Over here we have
just emerged from a marathon, all day debate in Parliament about the
rights and wrongs of the case and whether Parliament would authorise the
Prime Minister to follow the Americans and inflict specific targets
with missile strikes. It is a reflection of Tony Blair's mendacious
treatment of Parliament in the lead up to the Iraq War that has placed
the current Prime Minister in a position where he has had to ask for a
free vote in Parliament, which he lost last night.
Listening to the
debate one was struck by the continued referencing to past campaigns and
the uncomfortable truth that we went to war on a false premise and very
dodgy intelligence. The haste that the government wished to act, not
withstanding that the UN investigation had not finished its work of
proving that chemical weapons had been in fact used, was all too
reminiscent of the Bush/Blair debacle. As a nation we have lost some of
our self confidence and one could hear in the speeches a trace of fear
of the consequences.
The Americans on the other hand still feel
impervious. The cold war between themselves and Russia, with the
unimaginable consequences of an nuclear war are a long time ago and now,
indisputably the most powerful military force on the planet they have
the confidence not to feel threatened.
Europe has tied its energy to
Gazprom and the Russians could make our winter very uncomfortable if
they become peeved at efforts to punish Assad its one of the
consequences the Americans don't have to fear.
And so tonight Vice President Kerry has laid the ground for some sort of punitive exercise against the Syrians.
The
claim is that treaties, dating back to the First World War outlawing
chemical weapons have been broken and this is just cause for retaliation
and they will retaliate, sooner rather than later.
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